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Prediction for CME (2021-02-20T11:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-02-20T11:00Z
CME Note: From Dr. Lan Jian: In the declining part of the fast wind stream, there seem to be two flux ropes: one during Feb 23 05UT Feb 24 03UT, and the other one from Feb 24 04UT to present.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-02-23T05:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-02-22T15:29Z
Prediction Method: SPM
Prediction Method Note:

Initial shock speed: 931 km/s
Solar wind speed: 560 km/s
Duration time: 0.5 hr (default)

Lead Time: 16.97 hour(s)
Difference: 13.52 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2021-02-22T12:02Z

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