CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-03-20T00:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-03-20T00:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/16634/-1
CME Note: This arrival was attributed earlier to the signature seen at L1 around 2021-03-24T04:57Z. After a discussion with two ICME experts, it was decided that the second and stronger structure detected at L1 around 2021-03-24T19:18Z was the actual CME arrival. The first signature did not decrease in temperature while the second structure display clear signatures of a flux rope in the magnetic field, temperature and velocity.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-03-24T19:18Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-03-23T08:42Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 45.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.66667
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 27.80 hour(s)
Difference: 34.60 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-03-23T15:30Z
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