CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-06-27T02:00:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-06-27T02:00ZCME Note: CME observed leaving the western hemisphere, evidenced initially by coronal hole dimming on SDO AIA193. Analysis suggests a possible Earth-directed component, observed from around 27/0200Z quite clearly on SOHO C2/C3 and Stereo A COR2. Note from T. Nieves-Chincilla and L. Jian on CME arrival signature at L1: a clear flux rope on 07-01 from ~2:30 to ~14:15 with North polarity and some erosion at the front. This flux rope is embedded within the fast wind part of a CIR.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-07-01T02:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-01T16:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 22.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -161.18 hour(s)
Difference: -13.50 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-07-07T19:41Z
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