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Prediction for CME (2021-08-23T06:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-08-23T06:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17559/-1
CME Note: The CME is a partial halo in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and is in the NW of STA COR2A. The source is a filament eruption north of disk center seen at 02:00Z in SDO AIA 171/193/304. The L1 arrival signature seen by DSCOVR is characterized by a simultaneous jump in SW density, magnetic field and speed (from 360 to 420 km/s), as well as rotation of magnetic field components.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-08-27T00:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-08-26T03:23Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:
Initial speed: 375 km/s
Source location: W05N16
Solar wind speed: 360 km/s
duration time: 0.5 hrs (default)
Lead Time: 39.15 hour(s)
Difference: 21.03 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2021-08-25T09:16Z
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