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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-08-26T18:53:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-08-26T18:53Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17593/-1
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-08-30T11:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:

From: Solar Influences Data analysis Center
Sent: Friday, August 27, 2021 5:03 AM
To: Mays, M. Leila (GSFC-6740)
Subject: [EXTERNAL] CME arrival alert 

This mail contains the xml version of the CME arrival alert.
expected arrival time: 2021-08-30T11:00:00
time_uncertainty: 7
min_estimated_peak_K: 3
max_estimated_peak_K: 4
probability_of_arrival: 70

Lead Time: 73.95 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (M2M Office) on 2021-08-27T09:03Z

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