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Prediction for CME (2021-09-04T23:53:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-09-04T23:53Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17663/-1
CME Note: The start time of the CME is possibly earlier than indicated (updated from original time of 2021-09-05T01:09Z). There was missing data in COR2A before the indicated start time. The eruption was associated with a B4.5 flare that started at 2021-09-04T21:06Z and peaked at 2021-09-04T21:33Z. There was EUV wave signature associated with the eruption and visible in SDO/AIA 193. CME ARRIVAL NOTE: No discernable arrival signature was observed for this CME in the avilable data.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-09-08T07:21Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]

% Compiled module: EAM_V3.
******************************************************************************
Most pr. speed = 274.0 km/s 
The EAM version you are running is: v3
u_r =      194.382
Acceleration:       2.28676
Duration in seconds:        286137.48
Duration in days:        3.3117763
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   2.29 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  848.7 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 08/09/2021 Time: 07:21 UT

Lead Time: 19.18 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2021-09-07T12:10Z

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