CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-09-18T14:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-09-18T14:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17771/-1
CME Note: Faintly visible in the SSW in STEREO A COR2 and in the SSE in SOHO LASCO/C2. Associated with a filament eruption centered near S40E30, visible in SDO AIA 193/304 beginning 2021-09-18T13:45Z. Originally logged in CME Scoreboard with observed time of 2021-09-18T15:24Z, changed to reflect DONKI entry time 2021-09-18T14:53Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-09-21T14:00Z (-8.0h, +8.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)
Prediction Method Note:
2021-09-18T22:44 Lat=-27 Long=-29 half cone=31 speed=492Lead Time: 61.57 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Duty Forecaster (ASWFC) on 2021-09-19T00:26Z
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