CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-01-18T18:23:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-01-18T18:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18877/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. It is associated with an M1.5 flare from AR 12929 (N07W53) and brightening/EUV wave visible in SDO AIA 193 starting aorund 2022-01-18T17:20Z. The source signature is also visible in STEREO A EUVI 195 toward the NW limb around the same time. The CME arrival includes weak magnetic shock and jumps in solar wind density/speed/temp, preceded by a weak pileup.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-01-21T12:55Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-21T13:45Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 45.4%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.71429 - 4.28571
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 23.55 hour(s)
Difference: -0.83 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-01-20T13:22Z
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