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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-01-19T06:23:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-01-19T06:23Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18889/-1
CME Note: This CME visible to the SW in STEREO A COR2 imagery is associated with a filament eruption centered near S50W20 visible in SDO AIA 304 starting as early as 2022-01-19T02:46Z. The event is very faintly seen as a partial halo to the SW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 white light coronagraph imagery. There is some rotation-like behavior in the field components, but theres no magnetic shock and no arrival is supported by the density/speed/temperature data.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-23T09:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 72.85 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-01-20T08:09Z

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