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Prediction for CME (2022-01-20T09:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-01-20T09:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18911/-1
CME Note: The source of this CME is a filament eruption visible in SDO/AIA 304 starting around 2022-01-20T08:00Z followed by notable dimming best seen in SDO/AIA 193 and some rising loops after the filament erupts (visible in both SDO/AIA 193 and 171). The source location is just NW of AR 12933. This is a possible combined arrival with the 2022-01-21T09:53Z CME.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-01-24T17:09Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-23T09:10Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note: 
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% Compiled module: EAM
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Most pr. speed =  530.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v3
Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]
u_r =      333.390
Acceleration:       1.76284
Duration in seconds:        259315.00
Duration in days:        3.0013310
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   1.76 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  790.5 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 23/01/2022 Time: 09:10 UT
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Lead Time: 82.15 hour(s)
Difference: 31.98 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2022-01-21T07:00Z
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