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Prediction for CME (2022-03-05T00:01:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-03-05T00:01ZCME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-09T18:00Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Prediction Method Note: Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2022-03-05T15:02Z Radial velocity (km/s): 224 Longitude (deg): 04N Latitude (deg): 015E Half-angular width (deg): 26 Notes: Very low confidence, and possibly misattribution in assigning image pairs between Lasco C2/3 and STEREO A COR2. CME cause not observed, but faint ejecta seen heading northeast in Lasco and into Earth sector on St A during UTC morning of Saturday 05 March. CME observed time is approximate, taken as when it begins to appear in St A's FOV. Space weather advisor: Michael LawrenceLead Time: 86.50 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2022-03-06T03:30Z |
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