CME Scoreboard

Prediction for CME (2022-03-05T00:01:00-CME-001)

The prediction is constrained by the Solo sheath arrival time (2022-03-07T22:49)

To set up the ELEvoHI ensemble a direction between 20°E and 20°W and an angular half width (within the ecliptic) of 25 to 45° was used. The CME initial kinematics are derived from heliospheric imager data.

These parameters are also part of the constrained result:
Ambient solar wind speed: 292 km/s
Drag parameter: 1.8e-07
Initial time: 6-Mar-2022 03:04
Initial distance: 27 Rsun
Initial speed: 683 km/s

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement