CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-03-20T11:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-03-20T11:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19493/-1
CME Note: Visible in the NE in SOHO LASCO C2 and in the NW in STEREO A COR2. Associated with an eruption from AR 12971 (N17E11), visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-03-20T07:30Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-23T09:48Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:
SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2022-03-20 11:24:00
Source Longtitude: -11
Source Latitude:  17
Initial Shock Speed:  413 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed:  350 km/s
Duration Time: 0.5 hrs

Output results: The shock will reach the Earth at 2022-03-23 09:48:18
Lead Time: 21.30 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2022-03-22T12:30Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement