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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-03-31T19:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-03-31T19:09Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19621/-1
CME Note: Source is the M9.6-class flare from AR2975 peaking at 2022-03-31T18:35Z from N13W48. Associated eruption seen through the opening of field lines in STEREO A EUVI 195 from behind the west limb around 2022-03-31T19:15Z. Post eruptive darkening and an EUV wave is seen in SDO AIA 193 starting at 2022-03-31T18:31Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-04T08:39Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 14.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.5 - 4.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 17.12 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-04-03T15:32Z
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