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Prediction for CME (2022-03-30T18:23:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-03-30T18:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19597/-1 CME Note: Visible in the W in STEREO A COR2 and as an asymmetric halo slightly NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. Associated with X1.3 flare from AR 12975, eruption visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-03-30T17:30Z. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-02T13:14Z (-9.0h, +9.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: ************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 808.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v3 Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021] u_r = 484.344 Acceleration: 1.07787 Duration in seconds: 240715.25 Duration in days: 2.7860561 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 1.08 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 743.8 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 02/04/2022 Time: 13:14 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 38.73 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2022-03-31T22:30Z |
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