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Prediction for CME (2022-04-03T16:38:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-04-03T16:38Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19654/-1
CME Note: The source of this CME is a large filament eruption best seen in the SW quadrant of the Earth-facing disk in SDO/AIA 304 and along the western limb in a few frames of STEREO A EUVI 304. The CME is first visible to the SW in STEREO A COR2 followed by SOHO LASCO C2 and C3.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-04-06T22:45Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-06T13:42Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

**************************************************************************************
% Compiled module: EAM
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Most pr. speed =  702.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v3
Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]
u_r =      426.786
Acceleration:       1.35330
Duration in seconds:        248686.60
Duration in days:        2.8783171
% Compiled module: CALDAT.
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   1.35 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  763.3 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 06/04/2022 Time: 13:42 UT
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Lead Time: 39.75 hour(s)
Difference: 9.05 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2022-04-05T07:00Z

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