CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-04-04T11:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-04-04T11:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19668/-1
CME Note: Partial halo CME mostly NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and NE in COR2A. Its source is a filament eruption and opening field lines from the vicinity of AR 12983 (approximately N23E19). The arrival of this CME is marked by a weak shock with the magnetic field increasing to just above 10nT, and a jump in solar wind speed from ~365 km/s to 385 km/s and an increase in density to 15 particles/cc.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-04-08T03:39Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-08T03:11Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 12.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 40.62 hour(s)
Difference: 0.47 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-04-06T11:02Z
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