CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-04-26T14:53:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-04-26T14:53Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19940/-1
CME Note: The eruption is likely associated with a small filament eruption from the vicinity of AR 2996 (N24W07) which erupts around 2022-04-26T14:24Z as seen in SDO AIA 304 with associated coronal dimming in SDO AIA 193.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-04-29T10:01Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
**************************************************************************************
% Compiled module: EAM
**************************************************************************************
Most pr. speed =  714.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      774.794
Acceleration:      -1.31244
Duration in seconds:        241726.92
Duration in days:        2.7977652
**************************************************************************************
Acceleration of the CME:  -1.31 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  457.5 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 29/04/2022 Time: 10:01 UT
**************************************************************************************
Lead Time: 51.02 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2022-04-27T07:00Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement