CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-05-17T06:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-05-17T06:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20230/-1
CME Note: This CME is observed to the south in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. It is also observed to the SW in STEREO A COR2, but is partially obscured by streamer. The source signature for this CME is an eruption from Active Region 31010 (S16E21) with an associated C2.9 flare as seen in SDO AIA 131/193 starting around 2022-05-17T06:03Z. UPDATE (2022-05-24T11:30Z) from LASSOS Team: There is no clear magnetic shock at L1 associated with this ICME. If there is an ICME arrival, it comes at the back of a High Speed Stream, and the ICME signature is weak.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-05-20T05:30Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 59.52 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-05-17T17:59Z
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