CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-07-03T03:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-07-03T03:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20712/-1
CME Note: A very faint partial halo CME seen West in STEREO A COR2 starting 2022-07-03T03:09Z and very faintly Northeast in SOHO LASCO C2 after 2022-07-03T02:00, barely seen in C3. The CME overlaps with a later West-directed 2022-07-03T04:12Z CME after a couple timestamps in COR2Abut can be seen propagating out almost to the field of view. A possible source of this event could be a very slow, faint but large-area post-eruptive arcades on the southern side of the large coronal hole at disk center on 2022-07-02. These post-eruptive arcades slowly close out more than half of the coronal hole over the course of 2022-07-03, so it potentially there was a very slow large and central filament eruption. Arrival signature is characterized by a rapid increase in solar wind speed, density and temperature and magnetic field to near 8nT with further enhancements to above 20 nT, followed by rotation of magnetic field components and a protracted period of negative Bz reaching almost 20 nT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-07-07T08:08Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-07-07T13:00Z
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 42.00 hour(s)
Difference: -4.87 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-07-05T14:08Z
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