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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-08-15T17:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-08-15T17:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21205/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with an M1.0 flare from Active Region 13078 (near S25W02). The source signature of this CME is visible in SDO AIA 193/304 starting around 2022-08-15T14:33Z. It is visible towards the south in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 but not in STEREO A COR2 due to an ongoing outage.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-08-18T11:14Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 87.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.75 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 16.42 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-08-17T18:49Z

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