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Prediction for CME (2022-08-16T02:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-08-16T02:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21221/-1
CME Note: This CME is first visible to the south-southwest in SOHO LASCO C2 imagery. It appears to the southwest in STEREO A COR2 imagery with a very bright front. The source of this CME is an eruption from AR 13078 associated with filament material (SDO/AIA 304), brightening (SDO/AIA 304, 193), post-eruptive arcade (SDO/AIA 193), and possibly two flares (SDO/AIA 131).
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-08-18T17:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)
Prediction Method Note: 
Multiple CMEs erupted on Aug 15/16
predicted CME shock arrival time：2022-08-18T17:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive：70%
Kp Range：4-6
Lead Time: 34.43 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) on 2022-08-17T06:34Z
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