CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-11-11T17:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-11-11T17:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/22259/-1
CME Note: The eruption is characterized by two extremely faint, almost distinguishable fronts: one due south and one directed to the southeast as seen in the SOHO C2 coronagraph starting around 2022-11-11T17:24Z. It is unclear if the eruptions are separate events due to their faintness. They appear to be associated with eruptive activity from Active Region 3141 near the disk center (N12W08), and there is evidence in the SDO AIA and GOES SUVI coronal imagery of southward deflection of ejecta.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-11-14T21:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 71.37 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-11-11T21:38Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement