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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-11-22T08:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-11-22T08:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/22427/-1
CME Note: Halo CME seen first in the SE of SOHO LASCO C2 and then in the SSW in STEREO A COR2 and is likely associated with the C7.0-class flare from AR3151 peaking around 2022-11-22T07:27Z. The flare and subsequent eruption was accompanied by an EUV wave which was mostly directed toward the south and east as seen in SDO AIA 193 and 171 imagery starting around 2022-11-22T07:09Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-11-25T22:18Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 68.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.75 - 4.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 45.28 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-11-24T01:01Z
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