CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2023-01-08T05:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-01-08T05:00Z
CME Note: CME seen SSE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Possible source: a large area eruption centered around ~S40E30 to the S or SW of AR 3182 (S17E44), seen slowly developing as a complex shape dimming (or two nearby areas of dimming) in SDO AIA 193 starting around 2023-01-08T03:30Z and happening soon after multiple middle and upper C-class flares from AR 3182 earlier in the morning.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:

Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-01-12T06:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 2.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 62.00 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-01-09T16:00Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center ( This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement