Prediction for CME (2023-01-20T13:38:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2023-01-20T13:38Z
CME Note: Bright, wide CME with filamentary structure seen to the southwest in SOHO LASCO and STEREO A COR2 coronagraphs. Associated with a large-scale filament eruption whose filament at 2023-01-20T11:00Z was stretched from S42W25 northwest to about S30W70 (center point approximately S35W52). The eruption and post eruptive brightening is seen best in SDO 304 but also in SDO 193/171/211 occurring near 13:00Z. Arrival observed at Earth on 2023-01-23T02:59Z is believed to be more likely associated with CME: 2023-01-20T16:12Z, though its arrival is possibly associated with this CME.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-01-23T12:38Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.8 - 4.6
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 47.10 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-01-21T13:32Z
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