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Prediction for CME (2023-01-20T13:38:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-01-20T13:38Z
CME Note: Bright, wide CME with filamentary structure seen to the southwest in SOHO LASCO and STEREO A COR2 coronagraphs. Associated with a large-scale filament eruption whose filament at 2023-01-20T11:00Z was stretched from S42W25 northwest to about S30W70 (center point approximately S35W52). The eruption and post eruptive brightening is seen best in SDO 304 but also in SDO 193/171/211 occurring near 13:00Z. Arrival observed at Earth on 2023-01-23T02:59Z is believed to be more likely associated with CME: 2023-01-20T16:12Z, though its arrival is possibly associated with this CME.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:

Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-01-23T00:48Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM
Most pr. speed =  806.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      869.278
Acceleration:      -1.73913
Duration in seconds:        213021.81
Duration in days:        2.4655303
Acceleration of the CME:  -1.74 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  498.8 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 23/01/2023 Time: 00:48 UT
Lead Time: 53.13 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2023-01-20T19:40Z
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