Prediction for CME (2023-01-11T09:48:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2023-01-11T09:48Z
CME Note: This CME is seen to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. It overlaps the 2023-01-11T08:48Z CME. The source of this CME appears to be the M3.1 flare from AR13186. There is a simultaneous filament eruption seen beyond the NE limb that appears to be associated with the 2023-01-11T08:48Z CME. This CME was a candidate for the interplanetary shock observed at L1 on 2023-01-14T21:50Z, but per advice from the LASSOS team, it appeared the CME measured too fast to be responsible for the arrival signature (which did not have a dramatic increase in solar wind speeds).
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-01-14T13:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -246.98 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-01-24T19:59Z
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