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Prediction for CME (2023-02-03T10:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-02-03T10:36Z
CME Note: Bright CME seen to the west in SOHO and STEREO A coronagraphs. Appears to be associated with a broad area of dimming on the western portion of the Earth-facing disk from the equator up to about 25 degrees north as seen in GOES 284 imagery starting around 08:49Z with evidence of a minor filament eruption in the northern hemisphere, though moving field lines off the northwest limb in SDO 171 suggest possible farsidedness.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-02-07T12:48Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 30.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
A wide CME was first seen at 10:36 UTC on 3 February by LASCO C2, with a speed of around 400 km/s, it may arrive to the Earth on 7 February.
Lead Time: 50.95 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (M2M Office) on 2023-02-05T09:51Z
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