CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-03-30T21:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-03-30T21:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/24439/-1
CME Note: Minor, faint, but wide eruption first seen in SOHO LASCO C2 at 2023-03-30T21:12Z in the southwest, visible in both the SOHO and STEREO A coronagraphs. The source appears to be associated with a minor eruption from AR3262 located near S19W40 and dimming seen best in SDO 193, though the CME's leading edge quickly disappears before exiting the field of view, and the CME itself is too diffuse to reliably pair images between SOHO and STEREO A well. As such, there is significant uncertainty in the width and velocity parameters associated with the measurements.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-04-03T04:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/24445/1 Model Inputs: 2023-03-30T21:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=10.0, Lat.=-20.0, Speed=401.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2023-03-31T04:53Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2023-04-03T04:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=2 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Solar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2023-03-31T23:21Z STEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2023-04-03T00:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20230331_045300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gifLead Time: 59.47 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mattie Anastopulos (M2M Office) on 2023-03-31T16:32Z
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