CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-04-24T14:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-04-24T14:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/24775/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the south in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is a filament eruption centered around S35W25 starting around 2023-04-24T13:20Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. An EUV wave is visible at this time in SDO AIA 193, with post eruptive loops forming around 14:00Z. Post eruptive dimming is also visible shortly following the eruption.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-04-27T14:08Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 583.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v3 Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4] u_r = 362.169 Acceleration: 1.64157 Duration in seconds: 258974.19 Duration in days: 2.9973865 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 1.64 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 787.3 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 27/04/2023 Time: 14:08 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 51.40 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2023-04-25T10:44Z
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