Prediction for CME (2023-04-29T02:23:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2023-04-29T02:23Z
CME Note: Faint CME with what appears to be multiple fronts seen to the S/SW in STEREO A COR2 imagery and more generally to the South in SOHO LASCO C2 & C3 imagery. There is a fairly wide source region with associated brightening and dimming ranging from -20 to -40 degrees latitude and -10 to +30 degrees longitude starting around 01:30Z. This eruption encompasses AR13288. It is best seen in SDO/AIA 193, 304, and 211 as well as STEREO A EUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-05-01T22:54Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: SARM
Prediction Method Note:
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2023-04-29 08:10 â- Time at C2: 2023-04-29 02:23 â- Radial speed: 566.0 km/s â- Half angle: 32 deg â- Eruption location: S31W05 âInferences: ââ - No flare association was found âPredictions for Earth: ââ - In-situ shock speed: 575.80 km/s ââ - Shock arrival time: 2023-05-01 22:54 (i.e. predicted transit time: 68.53 hours)Lead Time: 48.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Marlon Nunez (UMA) on 2023-04-29T22:34Z
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