CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-04-29T02:23:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-04-29T02:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/24842/-1
CME Note: Faint CME with what appears to be multiple fronts seen to the S/SW in STEREO A COR2 imagery and more generally to the South in SOHO LASCO C2 & C3 imagery. There is a fairly wide source region with associated brightening and dimming ranging from -20 to -40 degrees latitude and -10 to +30 degrees longitude starting around 01:30Z. This eruption encompasses AR13288. It is best seen in SDO/AIA 193, 304, and 211 as well as STEREO A EUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-05-02T08:42Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 566.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 622.798 Acceleration: -0.669000 Duration in seconds: 1579891.6 Duration in days: 18.285783 % Compiled module: CALDAT. Duration in seconds: 281986.24 Duration in days: 3.2637296 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -0.67 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 434.1 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 02/05/2023 Time: 08:42 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 42.53 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2023-04-30T14:10Z
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