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Prediction for CME (2023-04-29T02:23:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-04-29T02:23Z
CME Note: Faint CME with what appears to be multiple fronts seen to the S/SW in STEREO A COR2 imagery and more generally to the South in SOHO LASCO C2 & C3 imagery. There is a fairly wide source region with associated brightening and dimming ranging from -20 to -40 degrees latitude and -10 to +30 degrees longitude starting around 01:30Z. This eruption encompasses AR13288. It is best seen in SDO/AIA 193, 304, and 211 as well as STEREO A EUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:

Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-05-02T02:45Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM
Most pr. speed =  566.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v3
Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4]
u_r =      352.938
Acceleration:       1.68095
Duration in seconds:        260559.55
Duration in days:        3.0157356
t2 is negative
Acceleration of the CME:   1.68 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  790.9 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 02/05/2023 Time: 02:45 UT
Lead Time: 36.57 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2023-04-30T14:11Z
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