CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-05-05T08:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-05-05T08:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/24943/-1
CME Note: Halo CME associated with M2.1 flare from AR13296 (N15E30). From LASSOS team discussion: Arrival on 5/7 is indicated by a sheath crossing and high field strength. No flux rope is observed in this signature. (There could even be 2 iCMEs in this signature, potentially merged). Another candidate CME for this arrival could be 2023-05-04T09:09Z CME.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-05-07T13:20Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-05-07T18:49Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 75.3333%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.85714 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -53.50 hour(s)
Difference: -5.48 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-05-09T18:50Z
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