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Prediction for CME (2023-05-05T08:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-05-05T08:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL:
CME Note: Halo CME associated with M2.1 flare from AR13296 (N15E30). From LASSOS team discussion: Arrival on 5/7 is indicated by a sheath crossing and high field strength. No flux rope is observed in this signature. (There could even be 2 iCMEs in this signature, potentially merged). Another candidate CME for this arrival could be 2023-05-04T09:09Z CME.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-05-07T13:20Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:

Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-05-07T12:48Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM
Most pr. speed =  955.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v2
u_r =      1022.30
Acceleration:      -2.47364
Duration in seconds:        189415.22
Duration in days:        2.1923058
Acceleration of the CME:  -2.47 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  553.8 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 07/05/2023 Time: 12:48 UT
Lead Time: 14.40 hour(s)
Difference: 0.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2023-05-06T22:56Z
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