Prediction for CME (2023-05-29T02:12:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2023-05-29T02:12Z
CME Note: Seen to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. This is the first of multiple fronts seen in coronagraph imagery, which were caused by several consecutive filament eruptions/a filament erupting in multiple stages on the Earth-facing disk. At about 2023-05-29T01:15Z as seen in SDO AIA 304, the large filament is seen breaking near AR13318 (N25W20 at the time) (no flare had occurred, however) and the first segment begins to lift off. From LASSOS team discussion: there is no arrival on 6/1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-06-01T17:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 51.25 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-05-30T13:45Z
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting