CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-01-07T04:23:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-01-07T04:23ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/43789/-1
CME Note: The arrival of this CME was not detected at L1. CME first seen to the ESE in STEREO A COR2 starting around 2026-01-07T04:23Z. The exact start time is somewhat unclear due to imagery quality. This CME is also seen in to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1. The leading edge of the CME is extremely faint and difficult to see in white light imagery. The source of this CME is likely associated with one of a series of eruptions from AR 14334. The eruption beginning around 2026-01-07T03:00Z associated with a C2.9 flare from AR 14334 (S15E18) that peaked at 2026-01-07T03:54Z is the most likely source candidate. The eruptive behavior, including some filamentary structure, and flare can be see across SDO wavelengths but are best seen in SDO AIA 131 and SDO AIA 304. There appears to be some deflection possibly due to the southern extension of coronal hole W of AR 14334 that was centered approximately around S18E05 at the time of the eruption.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-01-09T18:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 47.72 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-01-07T18:17Z
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