CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2018-02-12T01:25:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2018-02-12T01:25ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13660/-1
CME Note: This partial halo CME is associated with a long duration C1.5 flare peaking at 1:35Z from AR2699.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-02-15T07:38Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-15T06:24Z (-4.0h, +4.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
% Compiled module: EAM_V2. ****************************************************************************** ****************************************************************************** u_r = 616.636 Duration in seconds: 277156.95 Duration in days: 3.2078350 ****************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -0.64 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 438.1 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 15/02/2018 Time: 06:24 UT ******************************************************************************Lead Time: 48.63 hour(s)
Difference: 1.23 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2018-02-13T07:00Z
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