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Prediction for CME (2018-02-12T01:25:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-02-12T01:25Z
CME Note: This partial halo CME is associated with a long duration C1.5 flare peaking at 1:35Z from AR2699.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-02-15T07:38Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-16T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (NSSC SEPC)
Prediction Method Note:
Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-16T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0% 
MAX solar wind speed : (380,520)km/s
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3 - 5
Prediction Method: Cone + HAF (SEPC, NSSC, CAS)
Lead Time: 48.57 hour(s)
Difference: -25.37 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) on 2018-02-13T07:04Z
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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand