CME ScoreBoard Header

CCMCSWRCCME ScoreBoard

Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2018-02-12T01:25:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-02-12T01:25Z
CME Note: This partial halo CME is associated with a long duration C1.5 flare peaking at 1:35Z from AR2699.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-02-15T07:38Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-16T04:00Z
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -47
Predicted Dst min. time: 2018-02-16T16:00Z
Prediction Method: Anemomilos
Prediction Method Note:
#   Date                            JD       Xhf  Vel  Class     loc    Dec  Az   Dst      size 
201802110000 2458160.53681  40  335 M040 S08E02   2 -13 -034     small

# AlertIssued           PredictStart          PredictPeak  EL GX  DST  Pr Sr   Vel  Status CID  Bz
  201802150100 201802152359 201802161600 60 G2 -047 02 SP  750 SE     M015 S
Lead Time: -16.35 hour(s)
Difference: -20.37 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) on 2018-02-15T23:59Z
Insert title here

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand