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Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2018-02-12T01:25:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-02-12T01:25Z
CME Note: This partial halo CME is associated with a long duration C1.5 flare peaking at 1:35Z from AR2699.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-02-15T07:38Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:

Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-02-16T04:00Z
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -47
Predicted Dst min. time: 2018-02-16T16:00Z
Prediction Method: Anemomilos
Prediction Method Note:
#   Date                            JD       Xhf  Vel  Class     loc    Dec  Az   Dst      size 
201802110000 2458160.53681  40  335 M040 S08E02   2 -13 -034     small

# AlertIssued           PredictStart          PredictPeak  EL GX  DST  Pr Sr   Vel  Status CID  Bz
  201802150100 201802152359 201802161600 60 G2 -047 02 SP  750 SE     M015 S
Lead Time: -16.35 hour(s)
Difference: -20.37 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) on 2018-02-15T23:59Z
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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center ( This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand