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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2018-07-05T04:39:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-07-05T04:39Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14018/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible in STEREO A COR2 on the W limb. It starts as a slowly brightening near the streamer before the CME is clearly visible. For this reason the start time can be anywhere between 02:39 (labelled by SIDC) and 13:09 (labelled by SWPC).
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-07-10T11:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-07-07T10:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 2.0%
Predicted Dst min. in nT: -41
Predicted Dst min. time: 2018-07-07T22:00Z
Prediction Method: Other
Prediction Method Note:

NOAA G2 event using a solar wind velocity = 750 km/s and the ENLIL+Rice Dst algorithm

Lead Time: 108.82 hour(s)
Difference: 73.42 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) on 2018-07-05T22:36Z

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If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

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