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Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2018-07-05T04:39:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-07-05T04:39Z
CME Note: This CME is visible in STEREO A COR2 on the W limb. It starts as a slowly brightening near the streamer before the CME is clearly visible. For this reason the start time can be anywhere between 02:39 (labelled by SIDC) and 13:09 (labelled by SWPC).
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-07-10T11:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-07-09T06:39Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 12.3333%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 32.05 hour(s)
Difference: 28.77 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2018-07-09T03:22Z
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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand