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Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-03-08T04:17:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-03-08T04:17Z
CME Note: Large eruption from AR 2734 at 03:11Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-03-12T02:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-11T13:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:
CME Observed Time: 2019-03-08T03:19Z 
CME Arrival Time: ----- 
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ----- 

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-11T13:00Z 
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) 
Prediction Method Note:
Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2019-03-08T11:21Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 462
Longitude (deg): W03
Latitude (deg): N09
Half-angular width (deg): 37 

Notes: Low confidence in timing due to data gaps in STEREO-A imagery.
Space weather advisor: Richard Stone
Lead Time: 79.25 hour(s)
Difference: 13.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (GSFC) on 2019-03-08T18:45Z
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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand