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Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2019-03-20T08:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-03-20T08:24Z
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-03-24T20:43Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-23T05:54Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: SARM
Prediction Method Note:
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2019-03-20 18:19 
?- Time at C2: 2019-03-20 08:24 
?- Radial speed: 541.0 km/s
?- Half angle: 41 deg
?- Eruption location: N01W14
?? - No flare association was found
?Predictions for Earth:
?? - In-situ shock speed: 568.30 km/s
?? - Shock arrival time: 2019-03-23 05:54 (i.e. predicted transit time: 69.52 hours)
Predicted Kp-> 3.7-4.6
Lead Time: 97.55 hour(s)
Difference: 38.82 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Marlon Nunez (UMA) on 2019-03-20T19:10Z
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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center ( This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand