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Prediction for CME (2019-05-10T19:09:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-05-10T19:09Z
CME Note: The source of this signature is somewhat unclear. It could be associated with the arrival of a combination of 2 CMEs that started on 2019-05-10T19:09Z and 2019-05-11T02:39Z. From Dr. Lan Jian: The flux ropes separated by sharp boundaries could be due to the interaction of multiple CMEs. From the in-situ observations and Enlil modeling results, Earth was in the rarefaction before the CME arrived, this may be why the CMEs reached Earth so fast.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-05-13T22:06Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 7.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-15T10:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:
KSWC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7e
Resolution: low (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a5b1
WSA version: 2.2


CME input parameters
Time at 21.5Rs boundary:
Radial velocity (km/s):302
Longitude (deg):E17
Latitude (deg):S08
Half-angular width (deg):22

Notes:
Lead Time: 44.35 hour(s)
Difference: -35.90 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by RWC Jeju (KSWC) on 2019-05-12T01:45Z
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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand