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Past CMEs From 2014:

CME: 2014-12-20T00:48:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T14:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: associated to the X1.8 flare with peak time 2014-12-20T00:24Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending. Another shock was observed on 2014-12-23T10:33Z.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-12-22T05:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -9.47 ---- 2014-12-20T00:22Z 62.10 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-12-23T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 15.53 20.0 2014-12-20T21:42Z 40.77 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-22T10:00Z -4.47 ---- 2014-12-21T12:11Z 26.28 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-22T10:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -4.47 ---- 2014-12-21T16:41Z 21.78 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-22T13:45Z -0.72 20.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.33333
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T18:22Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
CME Note: assocaited with M6.9 flare with peak time2014-12-18T21:41Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-12-21T02:00Z -16.37 ---- 2014-12-19T02:31Z 63.85 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-21T07:38Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -10.73 ---- 2014-12-19T05:11Z 61.18 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Karin Muglach (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-21T13:00Z -5.37 ---- 2014-12-19T05:40Z 60.70 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-12-22T00:00Z 5.63 ---- 2014-12-19T12:29Z 53.88 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-21T01:00Z -17.37 80.0 2014-12-19T16:15Z 50.12 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-12-21T05:17Z (-4.3h, +6.0h) -13.08 100.0 2014-12-19T20:00Z 46.37 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Anna Chulaki (CCMC) Detail
2014-12-21T07:00Z -11.37 ---- 2014-12-21T00:29Z 17.88 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-12-21T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -9.37 ---- 2014-12-21T16:41Z 1.68 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-21T08:36Z -9.77 90.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 5.75 - 7.6
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-12-17T05:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T04:13Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: CME is associated with M8.7 class flare that peaked around 2014-12-17T04:50Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-12-20T08:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -20.22 ---- 2014-12-17T15:02Z 85.18 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-19T20:00Z (-7.0h, +5.0h) -32.22 70.0 2014-12-17T23:20Z 76.88 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Karin Muglach (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-19T13:00Z -39.22 ---- 2014-12-18T00:33Z 75.67 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-19T21:00Z -31.22 ---- 2014-12-18T02:10Z 74.05 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-12-20T15:00Z -13.22 ---- 2014-12-18T21:29Z 54.73 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-12-20T00:10Z -28.05 70.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.33333 - 5.25
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2014-12-19T20:00Z -32.22 ---- 2014-12-21T00:27Z 3.77 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail

CME: 2014-12-14T19:50:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: shock arrival time note: This is an initial analysis based upon limited data and may need amending.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-12-17T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) 30.0 2014-12-15T05:45Z 48.25 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-12-17T06:00Z 30.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-11-07T18:08:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-11-10T01:37Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-11-09T19:31Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -6.10 ---- 2014-11-08T02:53Z 46.73 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-10T05:00Z 3.38 ---- 2014-11-08T09:25Z 40.20 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-11-10T15:00Z (+9.0h) 13.38 ---- 2014-11-08T09:35Z 40.03 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-10T06:00Z 4.38 ---- 2014-11-08T12:30Z 37.12 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-09T20:59Z (-8.0h, +4.8h) -4.63 100.0 2014-11-08T13:45Z 35.87 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-10T03:42Z 2.08 100.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 5.5 - 7.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-11-01T05:12:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-11-03T22:27Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: Large filament in SDO ~04:20Z
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-11-03T17:50Z -4.62 ---- 2014-11-02T13:32Z 32.92 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-03T08:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -14.45 10.0 2014-11-02T23:39Z 22.80 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-03T12:55Z -9.53 10.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-10-29T14:24:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: source is probably a filament eruption seen on disk in SDO starting ~09:00, in the south, long filament in E-W direction.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-11-02T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- 5.0 2014-10-30T01:59Z 76.02 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-11-02T06:00Z ---- 5.0 --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-10-10T16:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-10-13T18:00Z ---- ---- 2014-10-10T19:55Z 70.08 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-10-13T18:00Z ---- ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-10-02T22:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-10-06T14:00Z ---- ---- 2014-10-03T04:00Z 82.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-10-06T14:00Z ---- ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-09-29T22:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-10-01T20:00Z ---- 3.0 2014-09-30T02:37Z 41.38 Dst min. in nT: -38
Dst min. time: 2014-10-01T23:59Z
Anemomilos WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) Detail
2014-10-01T20:00Z ---- 3.0 --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-09-28T02:58:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-09-30T18:00Z ---- 69.0 2014-09-28T04:45Z 61.25 Dst min. in nT: -31
Dst min. time: 2014-09-30T22:00Z
Anemomilos WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) Detail
2014-09-30T18:00Z ---- 69.0 --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-09-10T18:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-12T15:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 7.0
Dst min. in nT: -87
Dst min. time: 2014-09-13T00:00Z
CME Note: Associated with X1.6 flare (2014-09-10T17:21Z)
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-09-12T11:47Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -3.65 ---- 2014-09-11T01:21Z 38.08 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-13T20:37Z (-13.4h, +1.1h) 29.18 55.0 2014-09-11T01:51Z 37.58 Max Kp Range: -- - 8.0
COMESEP Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-12T13:00Z -2.43 ---- 2014-09-11T03:23Z 36.05 Max Kp Range: -- - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-12T13:39Z (-9.4h, +8.0h) -1.78 100.0 2014-09-11T03:58Z 35.47 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-13T05:00Z 13.57 ---- 2014-09-11T08:30Z 30.93 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-09-12T21:00Z 5.57 ---- 2014-09-11T09:40Z 29.77 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
Other (SIDC) Andy Devos (SIDC) Detail
2014-09-12T15:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -0.43 100.0 2014-09-11T20:25Z 19.02 ---- SAO Crowdsource Michael Stevens (SAO) Detail
2014-09-12T14:00Z -1.43 ---- 2014-09-12T10:58Z 4.47 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-09-12T20:15Z 4.82 85.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 5.5 - 7.66667
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-09-09T00:16:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-11T22:56Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -31
Dst min. time: 2014-09-13T03:00Z
CME Note: Associated with M4.6 flare (2014-09-08T23:12Z).
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-09-11T20:26Z (-11.7h, +11.7h) -2.50 57.0 2014-09-09T11:50Z 59.10 ---- SAO Crowdsource Michael Stevens (SAO) Detail
2014-09-12T03:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 4.07 ---- 2014-09-09T12:35Z 58.35 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - --
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-11T16:42Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -6.23 ---- 2014-09-09T13:01Z 57.92 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-11T23:00Z 0.07 ---- 2014-09-09T17:23Z 53.55 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-11T19:29Z (-11.8h, +12.7h) -3.45 100.0 2014-09-09T18:42Z 52.23 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 7.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-11T21:19Z -1.62 78.5 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.66667 - 6.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-09-02T16:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-06T04:33Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -26
Dst min. time: 2014-09-07T03:00Z
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-09-06T01:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -3.55 ---- 2014-09-03T02:00Z 74.55 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-09-06T12:00Z 7.45 ---- 2014-09-03T12:30Z 64.05 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-05T08:52Z (-8.9h, +15.2h) -19.68 100.0 2014-09-03T19:32Z 57.02 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2014-09-05T23:17Z -5.27 100.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-08-25T15:01:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-08-28T01:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) ---- ---- 2014-08-26T02:00Z 47.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-08-28T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-08-26T04:34Z 61.43 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-28T18:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) ---- ---- 2014-08-26T05:54Z 60.10 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-28T12:20Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-08-22T06:28:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-08-27T00:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -76
Dst min. time: 2014-08-27T18:00Z
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-08-25T23:01Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -24.98 ---- 2014-08-22T18:45Z 101.25 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-25T23:54Z (-5.8h, +4.6h) -24.10 100.0 2014-08-22T23:42Z 96.30 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-25T09:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -39.00 ---- 2014-08-23T09:58Z 86.03 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-08-27T00:00Z 0.00 ---- 2014-08-23T10:33Z 85.45 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-26T12:00Z -12.00 ---- 2014-08-23T12:30Z 83.50 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-26T03:59Z -20.02 100.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-08-15T21:12:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-08-19T05:58Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: This CME is associated with a filament eruption taking place at central meridian starting ~2014-08-15T17:00
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-08-19T00:00Z -5.97 ---- 2014-08-16T01:17Z 76.68 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-08-18T08:30Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -21.47 ---- 2014-08-16T03:52Z 74.10 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-19T12:00Z 6.03 ---- 2014-08-16T12:30Z 65.47 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-19T18:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) 12.03 ---- 2014-08-16T13:20Z 64.63 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-18T07:36Z (-11.3h, +11.3h) -22.37 75.0 2014-08-17T15:02Z 38.93 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 8.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-18T23:37Z -6.35 75.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 6.33333
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-08-01T18:36:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-08-04T05:00Z ---- ---- 2014-08-02T02:00Z 51.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-08-04T15:00Z ---- ---- 2014-08-02T12:35Z 50.42 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-04T10:00Z ---- ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-08-01T12:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: Filament eruption
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-08-03T20:30Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) ---- ---- 2014-08-01T19:10Z 49.33 ---- DBM Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) Detail
2014-08-03T20:30Z ---- ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-07-30T07:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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CME Note: This CME did not appear to arrive at Earth. A high speed stream signature was observed at ACE 2014-08-01 to 08-03.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-08-02T04:28Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-07-30T17:43Z 58.75 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-02T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- ---- 2014-07-30T18:36Z 65.40 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-01T14:34Z (-10.3h, +17.0h) ---- 75.0 2014-07-30T21:00Z 41.57 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-02T18:00Z ---- ---- 2014-07-31T00:30Z 65.50 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-08-02T03:00Z ---- ---- 2014-08-01T00:46Z 26.23 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-08-01T22:00Z ---- ---- 2014-08-01T13:54Z 8.10 ---- Expansion Speed Prediction Model Alisson Dallago (INPE) Detail
2014-08-02T04:20Z ---- 75.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-07-09T19:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-07-13T04:00Z ---- ---- 2014-07-10T02:00Z 74.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-07-13T01:23Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2014-07-12T22:46Z ---- ---- 2014-07-18T15:55Z -137.15 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Jenna Zink (GMU) Detail

CME: 2014-07-08T16:15:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
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Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-07-12T13:00Z ---- ---- 2014-07-09T08:50Z 76.17 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-07-12T11:00Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2014-07-12T09:00Z ---- ---- 2014-07-18T15:55Z -150.92 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Jenna Zink (GMU) Detail

CME: 2014-06-25T12:54:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-29T18:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Source region seen in AIA 193. Large filament like eruption stretching from disk center towards NE limb starting around 2014-06-25T08:45Z [-DK] CME arrival could be 2014-06-29T18:00Z or it could be the arrival of the later CME which started at the Sun around 2014-06-26T01:25Z.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-06-28T14:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -28.00 20.0 2014-06-26T14:15Z 75.75 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-28T14:00Z -28.00 20.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-06-20T12:24:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-06-24T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- ---- 2014-06-21T14:22Z 69.63 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-24T20:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-06-21T19:36Z 72.40 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 3.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-24T11:00Z ---- ---- 2014-06-22T02:00Z 57.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-06-24T14:20Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-06-19T19:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-23T22:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-06-22T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -28.00 ---- 2014-06-20T00:18Z 93.70 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-22T15:00Z -31.00 ---- 2014-06-20T01:22Z 92.63 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-24T00:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) 2.00 ---- 2014-06-20T08:32Z 85.47 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-22T07:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -39.00 ---- 2014-06-20T15:00Z 79.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-06-22T21:00Z (-2.0h, +2.0h) -25.00 ---- 2014-06-20T21:38Z 72.37 Max Kp Range: 0.7 - 1.0
Dst min. in nT: -18
Dst min. time: 2014-06-23T02:00Z
Rice-ENLIL Dst Ramkumar Bala (Rice) Detail
2014-06-22T16:12Z (-5.4h, +7.6h) -29.80 ---- 2014-06-20T22:59Z 71.02 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 7.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-23T00:00Z -22.00 ---- 2014-06-21T02:00Z 68.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-06-22T21:18Z -24.70 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.9 - 4.75
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-06-12T22:12:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-17T05:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-06-15T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -47.67 ---- 2014-06-13T13:00Z 88.67 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-16T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -23.67 ---- 2014-06-13T18:45Z 82.92 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Anna Chulaki (CCMC) Detail
2014-06-15T18:00Z -35.67 ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-06-10T13:09:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-06-13T16:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-06-10T18:47Z 69.22 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-15T12:24Z (-28.0h, +31.5h) ---- ---- 2014-06-10T19:49Z 112.58 Max Kp Range: -- - 7.0
COMESEP Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-13T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) ---- ---- 2014-06-10T21:26Z 56.57 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-14T09:02Z (-9.5h, +18.63h) ---- ---- 2014-06-11T10:49Z 70.22 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
COMESEP Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-12T20:28Z (-3.07h, +3.07h) ---- ---- 2014-06-11T14:59Z 29.48 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-13T10:00Z ---- ---- 2014-06-12T17:25Z 16.58 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-13T12:00Z ---- ---- 2014-06-12T20:06Z 15.90 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2014-06-13T19:07Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.4
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-06-04T13:25:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-07T16:09Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-06-08T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 7.85 ---- 2014-06-05T18:16Z 45.88 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-07T20:56Z (-6.82h, +8.1h) 4.78 ---- 2014-06-05T20:10Z 43.98 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-06-07T22:28Z 6.32 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-04-21T20:02:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-24T16:30Z (-13.0h, +13.0h) ---- ---- 2014-04-22T18:00Z 46.50 ---- SAO Crowdsource Michael Stevens (SAO) Detail
2014-04-24T16:30Z ---- ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-04-18T13:09:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-04-20T10:22Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -26
Dst min. time: 2014-04-21T04:00Z
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-20T13:00Z 2.63 ---- 2014-04-18T19:23Z 38.98 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-21T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 25.63 ---- 2014-04-18T20:02Z 38.33 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-20T05:07Z (-4.03h, +6.13h) -5.25 ---- 2014-04-18T21:06Z 37.27 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 8.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Karin Muglach (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-20T09:09Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -1.22 ---- 2014-04-18T21:37Z 36.75 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Karin Muglach (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-20T15:49Z 5.45 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.25
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-04-02T13:55:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-04-05T09:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-04T09:21Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -24.32 ---- 2014-04-02T22:27Z 59.22 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-04T19:01Z (-10.0h, +6.3h) -14.65 ---- 2014-04-03T03:21Z 54.32 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 7.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-05T10:00Z 0.33 ---- 2014-04-03T07:27Z 50.22 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-04-05T00:00Z (-9.0h) -9.67 ---- 2014-04-03T12:23Z 45.28 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-05T00:04Z -9.60 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.33333
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2014-04-05T10:00Z 0.33 ---- 2014-04-03T22:35Z 35.08 Dst min. in nT: -158
Dst min. time: 2014-04-05T13:00Z
Anemomilos WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) Detail

CME: 2014-04-01T17:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-04-05T09:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-05T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 2.33 ---- 2014-04-02T10:37Z 71.05 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-05T04:50Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -4.83 ---- 2014-04-02T15:00Z 66.67 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-05T03:00Z -6.67 ---- 2014-04-03T00:30Z 57.17 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-05T06:36Z -3.07 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-03-30T12:24:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-02T06:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-31T00:30Z 53.50 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-03T00:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-31T09:09Z 62.85 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-02T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-03-31T16:43Z 31.28 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 3.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-02T10:00Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-03-29T18:39:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-02T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-03-29T23:45Z 72.25 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-02T06:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-31T00:30Z 53.50 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-01T21:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-31T02:37Z 42.38 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-04-02T04:30Z ---- ---- 2014-03-31T15:00Z 37.50 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-02T06:27Z ---- ---- 2014-03-31T16:22Z 38.08 ---- Expansion Speed Prediction Model Alisson Dallago (INPE) Detail
2014-04-01T21:30Z (-1.0h, +1.0h) ---- ---- 2014-04-01T22:49Z -1.32 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-02T01:54Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-03-28T23:58:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-04-01T05:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-29T12:34Z 64.43 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-01T15:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-30T00:30Z 62.50 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-01T12:00Z ---- ---- 2014-03-30T04:09Z 55.85 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-04-01T10:40Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-03-23T04:09:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-03-25T19:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-03-26T00:00Z 4.58 ---- 2014-02-24T12:55Z 702.50 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-03-25T18:31Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -0.90 ---- 2014-03-23T20:33Z 46.87 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-03-26T00:00Z 4.58 ---- 2014-03-24T00:30Z 42.92 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-03-25T22:10Z 2.75 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-02-25T01:25:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-27T16:10Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-26T12:15Z -27.92 ---- 2014-02-25T20:28Z 43.70 ---- Expansion Speed Prediction Model Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-26T22:15Z (-11.27h, +20.72h) -17.92 ---- 2014-02-25T23:03Z 41.12 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-26T22:00Z -18.17 ---- 2014-02-26T00:30Z 39.67 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-27T00:00Z -16.17 ---- 2014-02-26T13:19Z 26.85 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-26T20:07Z -20.05 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-02-19T16:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-23T06:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-22T11:26Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -18.57 ---- 2014-02-20T01:14Z 76.77 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-23T01:00Z -5.00 ---- 2014-02-20T09:37Z 68.38 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-23T00:00Z -6.00 ---- 2014-02-20T12:30Z 65.50 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-22T12:20Z (-12.58h, +13.18h) -17.67 ---- 2014-02-20T15:30Z 62.50 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-22T18:11Z -11.82 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.33333 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-02-18T01:25:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-20T02:50Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0
Dst min. in nT: -86
Dst min. time: 2014-02-20T13:00Z
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-20T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 17.17 ---- 2014-02-18T10:05Z 40.75 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-21T01:05Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 22.25 ---- 2014-02-18T20:38Z 30.20 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-20T16:29Z (-28.73h, +17.65h) 13.65 ---- 2014-02-18T20:46Z 30.07 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-21T00:00Z 21.17 ---- 2014-02-19T00:30Z 26.33 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-20T21:23Z 18.55 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.66667 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-02-12T05:48:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-15T12:35Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-14T10:38Z -25.95 ---- 2014-02-12T19:27Z 65.13 ---- SARM Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-14T19:06Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -17.48 ---- 2014-02-12T19:51Z 64.73 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-15T12:00Z -0.58 ---- 2014-02-12T23:03Z 61.53 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-14T18:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -18.58 ---- 2014-02-13T00:30Z 60.08 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-14T23:47Z (-8.65h, +13.23h) -12.80 ---- 2014-02-13T02:33Z 58.03 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-14T21:30Z -15.08 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.33333
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-02-04T01:25:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-07T16:16Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -37
Dst min. time: 2014-02-09T07:00Z
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-07T18:00Z 1.73 ---- 2014-02-04T13:11Z 75.08 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-07T00:38Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -15.63 ---- 2014-02-05T00:25Z 63.85 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-07T09:00Z -7.27 ---- 2014-02-05T01:42Z 62.57 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-02-06T20:39Z (-18.0h, +23.0h) -19.62 ---- 2014-02-05T02:38Z 61.63 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-07T06:04Z -10.20 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.5 - 4.66667
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-01-31T16:34:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-04T17:00Z ---- ---- 2014-02-01T11:25Z 77.58 Max Kp Range: -- - 3.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-03T16:42Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2014-02-01T13:45Z 50.95 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-03T17:20Z (-6.0h, +9.1h) ---- ---- 2014-02-02T02:44Z 38.60 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-04T01:00Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-01-30T16:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-02-02T23:18Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 2.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-02-02T12:00Z -11.30 ---- 2014-01-30T21:49Z 73.48 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-02T07:49Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -15.48 ---- 2014-01-31T05:09Z 66.15 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-04T02:28Z (-40.0h, +80.0h) 27.17 ---- 2014-01-31T08:16Z 63.03 ---- COMESEP Andy Devos (SIDC) Detail
2014-02-02T05:44Z (-11.4h, +10.0h) -17.57 ---- 2014-01-31T15:47Z 55.52 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-02T04:00Z -19.30 ---- 2014-01-31T17:22Z 53.93 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-02-02T16:00Z -7.30 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 5.66667
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-01-14T10:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-18T18:07Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 1.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-01-16T21:09Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -44.97 ---- 2014-01-14T17:41Z 96.43 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-17T13:00Z -29.12 ---- 2014-01-14T19:43Z 94.40 Max Kp Range: -- - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-18T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) -6.12 ---- 2014-01-15T10:41Z 79.43 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-17T15:23Z -26.73 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.5
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-01-07T18:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-09T19:32Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 3.0
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-01-09T19:26Z (-10.0h, +10.0h) -0.10 ---- 2014-01-07T21:00Z 46.53 ---- STOA Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-09T00:38Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -18.90 ---- 2014-01-08T00:41Z 42.85 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-09T08:00Z -11.53 ---- 2014-01-08T01:31Z 42.02 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-08T22:00Z -21.53 ---- 2014-01-08T03:17Z 40.25 Dst min. in nT: -146
Dst min. time: 2014-01-09T11:00Z
Anemomilos WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) Detail
2014-01-09T00:17Z (-6.9h, +9.2h) -19.25 ---- 2014-01-08T04:11Z 39.35 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-09T04:30Z (-2.5h, +2.5h) -15.03 ---- 2014-01-08T05:02Z 38.50 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-08T12:30Z -31.03 ---- 2014-01-08T05:58Z 37.57 ---- ESA Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-09T12:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -7.53 ---- 2014-01-08T06:32Z 37.00 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2014-01-09T04:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -15.53 ---- 2014-01-08T09:42Z 33.83 ---- DBM Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) Detail
2014-01-10T04:04Z (-16.0h, +36.0h) 8.53 ---- 2014-01-08T14:56Z 28.60 Max Kp Range: 8.0 - 8.0
Dst min. in nT: -300
COMESEP Andy Devos (SIDC) Detail
2014-01-09T08:02Z -11.50 ---- 2014-01-08T16:37Z 26.92 ---- Expansion Speed Prediction Model Alisson Dallago (INPE) Detail
2014-01-09T02:00Z -17.53 ---- 2014-01-08T17:53Z 25.65 Max Kp Range: 8.0 - 9.0
BHV Volker Bothmer (UGOE) Detail
2014-01-09T01:00Z -18.53 ---- 2014-01-08T23:00Z 20.53 Dst min. in nT: -142
Dst min. time: 2014-01-09T12:00Z
Anemomilos WKent Tobiska (SET SWD) Detail
2014-01-09T13:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -6.53 ---- 2014-01-08T23:17Z 20.25 Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone Duty Forecaster (ASFC) Detail
2014-01-09T11:22Z (-11.7h, +9.1h) -8.17 ---- 2014-01-09T18:57Z 0.58 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-09T06:35Z -12.95 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 6.0 - 7.625
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2014-01-04T21:25:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2014-01-07T14:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2014-01-08T00:00Z 9.57 ---- 2014-01-05T12:27Z 49.98 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-07T16:03Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 1.62 ---- 2014-01-05T16:56Z 45.50 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-07T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) -2.43 ---- 2014-01-05T23:30Z 38.93 ---- Other (ips.gov.au) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-07T08:00Z -6.43 ---- 2014-01-06T19:26Z 19.00 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2014-01-07T15:00Z 0.57 ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand