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Past CMEs From 2017:

CME: 2017-12-15T15:30:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-12-20T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- 10.0 2017-12-15T23:51Z 114.15 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-12-20T07:00Z ---- ---- 2017-12-16T09:30Z 93.50 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2017-12-20T00:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- 20.0 2017-12-16T12:30Z 83.50 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-12-19T21:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- 20.0 2017-12-16T16:00Z 77.00 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-12-20T05:30Z ---- 16.6667 --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.5 - 4.5
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-11-25T07:40:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-11-29T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2017-11-25T20:28Z 75.53 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-11-28T02:00Z ---- ---- 2017-11-26T01:30Z 48.50 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) RWC Jeju (KSWC) Detail
2017-11-28T22:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- 20.0 2017-11-26T11:44Z 58.27 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
Other (SIDC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-11-29T03:05Z ---- 30.0 2017-11-27T10:05Z 41.00 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-11-28T20:21Z ---- 25.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.5
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2017-11-29T01:28Z ---- ---- 2017-11-29T13:19Z -11.85 ---- Other Jiajia Liu (UoS) Detail

CME: 2017-10-18T07:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-10-21T03:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: These predictions are for STEREO-A. Not for the Earth!
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-10-19T20:00Z -31.00 ---- 2017-10-18T16:36Z 58.40 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-10-19T18:12Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -32.80 ---- 2017-10-18T16:43Z 58.28 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-10-20T03:00Z -24.00 ---- 2017-10-18T21:40Z 53.33 ---- SARM Marlon Nunez (UMA) Detail
2017-10-19T21:44Z -29.27 ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-09-10T16:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-12T19:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -50
Dst min. time: 2017-09-13T01:00Z
CME Note: Associated with X8.2 flare from AR 12673. Arrival at of CME-associated disturbance DSCOVR has no clear flux-rope signature, shock only.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-09-13T04:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 8.57 ---- 2017-09-10T20:04Z 47.37 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-13T18:00Z 22.57 ---- 2017-09-11T03:25Z 40.02 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-11T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) -31.43 ---- 2017-09-11T08:29Z 34.95 ---- Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-12T05:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -14.43 70.0 2017-09-11T08:54Z 34.53 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Other (NSSC SEPC) Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) Detail
2017-09-13T02:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 6.57 ---- 2017-09-11T09:42Z 33.73 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-13T02:34Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) 7.13 ---- 2017-09-11T11:35Z 31.85 ---- EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Evangelos Paouris (UoA) Detail
2017-09-12T07:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) -12.43 60.0 2017-09-11T12:07Z 31.32 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-09-12T08:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -11.43 50.0 2017-09-11T14:16Z 29.17 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-12T01:30Z (-3.0h, +3.0h) -17.93 ---- 2017-09-11T14:29Z 28.95 ---- Ooty IPS Aleksandre Taktakishvili (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-12T16:06Z (-5.4h, +7.7h) -3.33 13.0 2017-09-11T16:28Z 26.97 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-12T14:49Z -4.62 48.25 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.75 - 5.6
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-09-06T12:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-07T22:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 8.0
Dst min. in nT: -142
Dst min. time: 2017-09-08T02:00Z
CME Note: Associated with X9.3 flare from AR 12673.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-09-08T18:27Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 19.95 ---- 2017-09-06T17:23Z 29.12 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Barbara Thompson (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-08T17:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 18.50 80.0 2017-09-06T22:40Z 23.83 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Other (SIDC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-08T22:00Z 23.50 ---- 2017-09-06T23:24Z 23.10 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-08T10:25Z 11.92 ---- 2017-09-07T02:13Z 20.28 ---- SARM Marlon Nunez (UMA) Detail
2017-09-08T06:00Z (-3.0h, +3.0h) 7.50 80.0 2017-09-07T05:00Z 17.50 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-09-08T08:00Z (-3.0h, +3.0h) 9.50 70.0 2017-09-07T05:40Z 16.83 ---- DBM + ESWF Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) Detail
2017-09-08T13:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 14.50 90.0 2017-09-07T08:25Z 14.08 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
Other (NSSC SEPC) Jingjing Wang (NSSC SEPC) Detail
2017-09-08T07:32Z (-5.0h, +6.0h) 9.03 ---- 2017-09-07T08:33Z 13.95 ---- DBM Mateja Dumbovic (UNIGRAZ) Detail
2017-09-08T10:16Z (-4.0h, +4.0h) 11.77 ---- 2017-09-07T09:00Z 13.50 ---- EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Evangelos Paouris (UoA) Detail
2017-09-08T16:30Z (+14.0h) 18.00 ---- 2017-09-07T12:32Z 9.97 ---- ElEvo Tanja Amerstorfer (SRI) Detail
2017-09-08T15:48Z (-9.0h, +10.0h) 17.30 100.0 2017-09-07T14:53Z 7.62 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Hayley Austin (CCMC) Detail
2017-09-08T13:52Z 15.37 ---- 2017-09-07T15:46Z 6.73 ---- SPM2 Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) Detail
2017-09-08T10:42Z 12.20 ---- 2017-09-07T15:55Z 6.58 ---- SPM Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) Detail
2017-09-08T06:00Z (-2.0h, +2.0h) 7.50 ---- 2017-09-07T16:30Z 6.00 ---- Ooty IPS Aleksandre Taktakishvili (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-08T16:00Z 17.50 ---- 2017-09-09T12:59Z -38.48 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-08T12:46Z 14.27 84.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.33333 - 6.5
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-09-04T20:36:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-06T23:08Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
Dst min. in nT: -23
Dst min. time: 2017-09-07T09:00Z
CME Note: Associated with M5.5 flare from AR 12673. CME start time was updated from 2017-09-04T23:06Z. Note that there was also a CME starting on 2017-09-04T19:39Z that was slightly slower but in a similar direction and was likely "merged" with the faster 2017-09-04T20:36Z CME.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-09-06T14:51Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -8.28 ---- 2017-09-05T01:38Z 45.50 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-06T17:07Z -6.02 ---- 2017-09-05T02:27Z 44.68 ---- SARM Marlon Nunez (UMA) Detail
2017-09-06T12:00Z (-8.0h, +8.0h) -11.13 90.0 2017-09-05T08:42Z 38.43 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0
Other (SIDC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-07T06:00Z 6.87 ---- 2017-09-05T08:44Z 38.40 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
Other (British Geological Survey) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-06T06:45Z (-4.0h, +4.0h) -16.38 ---- 2017-09-05T09:40Z 37.47 ---- EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Evangelos Paouris (UoA) Detail
2017-09-07T06:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) 6.87 80.0 2017-09-05T10:20Z 36.80 ---- DBM + ESWF Manuela Temmer (UNIGRAZ) Detail
2017-09-06T18:00Z -5.13 ---- 2017-09-05T12:30Z 34.63 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-06T22:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h) -1.13 70.0 2017-09-05T14:45Z 32.38 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 8.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-09-07T03:45Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 4.62 ---- 2017-09-05T19:34Z 27.57 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Barbara Thompson (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-07T09:02Z (-8.1h, +14.1h) 9.90 89.0 2017-09-05T20:31Z 26.62 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Barbara Thompson (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-07T06:00Z 6.87 ---- 2017-09-07T15:22Z -16.23 Max Kp Range: 5.0 - 7.0
Other (British Geological Survey) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-06T22:00Z -1.13 ---- 2017-09-08T17:00Z -41.87 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-09-06T21:57Z -1.18 82.25 --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.75 - 7.125
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-08-28T18:39:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: Start time should be updated to reflect start time in C2. Source is an eruption seen at 15:31Z in SDO AIA 193 near AR2672.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-09-01T06:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2017-08-29T15:35Z 62.42 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Hayley Austin (CCMC) Detail
2017-09-01T06:00Z ---- ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-07-14T01:36:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-07-16T05:14Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 6.0
Dst min. in nT: -69
Dst min. time: 2017-07-16T16:00Z
CME Note: There was an M2.4 flare starting at 01:07, clear dimmings and rising/opening loops.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-07-16T18:00Z 12.77 ---- 2017-07-14T09:25Z 43.82 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-07-16T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 6.77 ---- 2017-07-14T12:50Z 40.40 Max Kp Range: -- - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-07-16T15:00Z 9.77 90.0 2017-07-14T13:20Z 39.90 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 7.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-07-16T21:42Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 16.47 ---- 2017-07-14T13:29Z 39.75 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Barbara Thompson (GSFC) Detail
2017-07-16T08:53Z 3.65 ---- 2017-07-14T15:50Z 37.40 ---- SARM Marlon Nunez (UMA) Detail
2017-07-16T16:51Z (-12.2h, +11.75h) 11.62 97.0 2017-07-14T18:47Z 34.45 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Ensemble WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-07-16T08:48Z (-5.0h, +5.0h) 3.57 ---- 2017-07-14T20:20Z 32.90 ---- EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Evangelos Paouris (UoA) Detail
2017-07-16T14:27Z 9.22 93.5 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.6
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-06-28T16:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-07-01T16:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
CME Note: Start time of the CME was modified
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-07-02T21:00Z (-18.0h, +18.0h) 28.57 70.0 2017-06-29T08:22Z 56.07 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-07-03T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 43.57 ---- 2017-06-29T10:02Z 54.40 ---- Other (SIDC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-07-02T19:30Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 27.07 ---- 2017-06-29T17:45Z 46.68 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-07-03T02:20Z 33.90 70.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2017-07-03T04:50Z (-3.5h, +3.5h) 36.40 ---- 2017-06-30T09:40Z 30.77 ---- EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Evangelos Paouris (UoA) Detail

CME: 2017-05-23T06:00:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-05-27T14:47Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-05-26T18:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) -20.78 ---- 2017-05-23T21:18Z 89.48 Max Kp Range: 2.0 - 4.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-05-26T15:00Z -23.78 ---- 2017-05-24T08:20Z 78.45 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-05-26T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) -26.78 20.0 2017-05-24T13:24Z 73.38 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-05-27T21:07Z (-4.0h, +4.0h) 6.33 ---- 2017-05-25T09:23Z 53.40 ---- EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Evangelos Paouris (UoA) Detail
2017-05-27T15:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) 0.22 20.0 2017-05-25T13:42Z 49.08 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-05-27T01:49Z -12.97 20.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 2.75 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-05-13T22:00:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-05-17T00:00Z (-4.0h, +15.0h) ---- 60.0 2017-05-14T14:07Z 57.88 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-05-16T17:00Z ---- ---- 2017-05-14T19:21Z 45.65 Max Kp Range: -- - 6.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NOAA/SWPC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-05-17T12:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) ---- ---- 2017-05-14T19:35Z 64.42 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Alexandra Wold (SWRC) Detail
2017-05-17T20:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- 40.0 2017-05-15T13:50Z 54.17 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 4.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-05-17T06:15Z ---- 50.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.5 - 5.33333
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-05-04T21:30:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-05-09T02:00Z ---- 60.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail
2017-05-09T02:00Z (-9.0h, +6.0h) ---- 60.0 2017-05-06T01:00Z 73.00 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail

CME: 2017-04-30T10:40:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-05-04T17:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
CME Note: CME arrival is not clear since it appears to be combined with a solar sector boundary
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-05-03T15:00Z (-9.0h, +9.0h) -26.50 30.0 2017-04-30T22:10Z 91.33 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-05-03T15:00Z -26.50 30.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-04-18T19:48:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-04-21T11:20Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 5.0
CME Note: The arrival of this transient appears to be combined with a CH HSS arrival.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-04-21T03:53Z -7.45 20.0 2017-04-19T08:52Z 50.47 Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Other (SIDC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-04-21T03:53Z -7.45 20.0 --- --- Max Kp Range: 4.0 - 6.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-04-01T22:12:00-CME-001
This CME was not detected at Earth!
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
----
CME Note: associated with M4.4 flare
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-04-05T10:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) ---- ---- 2017-04-02T13:07Z 68.88 Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Other (SIDC) Leila Mays (GSFC) Detail
2017-04-05T10:00Z ---- ---- --- --- Max Kp Range: 3.0 - 5.0
Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

CME: 2017-03-19T18:24:00-CME-001
Actual Shock Arrival Time: 2017-03-23T08:51Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters:
Max Kp: 4.0
CME Note: CME start time is not completely accurate since it is a very faint partial halo. It was changed from 2017-03-20T06:00Z to 2017-03-19T18:24Z. The shock arrival is not clear since CME may have been combined and picked up by the HSS that arrived at Earth on 2017-03-21T00:00Z.
Predicted Shock Arrival Time Difference (hrs) Confidence (%) Submitted On Lead Time (hrs) Predicted Geomagnetic Storm Parameter(s) Method Submitted By
2017-03-24T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) 15.15 ---- 2017-03-20T14:57Z 65.90 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Yaireska Collado (GSFC) Detail
2017-03-24T18:00Z 33.15 ---- 2017-03-20T17:37Z 63.23 ---- WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Met Office (Met Office) Detail
2017-03-24T09:00Z 24.15 ---- --- --- ---- Average of all Methods Auto Generated (CCMC) Detail

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Important Disclaimer Notice

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (http://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

NASA Official: Dr. Maria Kuznetsova
Curator: Chiu Wiegand