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CME Analysis Information (for CME activity ID: 2026-02-02T03:12:00-CME-001)
Measurement Creation Time:
Catalog: M2M_CATALOG
Data Level: 0 (0=real-time, 1=real-time and checked by supervising forecaster, 2=retrospective science level data analysis)
Use as primary measurement: true
Measurement Technique: SWPC_CAT

Detecting Instruments:

SOHO: LASCO/C2

SOHO: LASCO/C3

STEREO A: SECCHI/COR2

GOES: CCOR-1

Image Type: running difference
Speed (km/s): 369.0
Speed measured at height (Rs): None Entered
Type: S
Direction (LON/LAT in HEEQ): -17.0/ 30.0
Half Angular Width (degree): 37.0
Minor Half-width (degree): None Entered
Tilt (degree): None Entered
Time@21.5: 2026-02-02T12:42Z
Info/Session URL: None Entered
Note:

Speculative analysis based on the fit of the front in three coronagraphs (SOHO LASCO C2/C3, STEREO A COR2 and GOES CCOR-1). It is not clear which of the multiple fronts in SOHO/CCOR-1 corresponds to the more clear front in STEREO A. The possible source (flare from AR 14366) is more eastward than the longitude we are obtaining from triangulation, so there might be westward deflection of the CME.

Measurement Feature Code(s):

LE: Leading Edge

General Keyword(s):

Version 1 submitted on 2026-02-02T18:23Z by Anna Chulaki

No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.

The List of WSA-ENLIL Results:

Model Name	Model Completion Time	AU	CME Input(s)	Predicted Earth Impact	Predicted Other Location(s) Impact
WSA-ENLIL+Cone	2026-02-02T18:59Z	2.0		Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-02-06T00:00Z (Glancing Blow) Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=4 (kp)180=4	Solar Orbiter = 2026-02-04T14:00Z

All directly linked activities:

2026-02-02T03:12:00-CME-001

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