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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2021-05-24T19:18Z

Model Inputs:
2021-05-23T09:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=22.0, Lat.=5.0, Speed=699.0, HalfAngle=26.0, Time21.5=2021-05-23T14:34Z
2021-05-23T11:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=25.0, Lat.=8.0, Speed=806.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2021-05-23T15:45Z
2021-05-23T17:38:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=27.0, Lat.=1.0, Speed=703.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2021-05-23T22:17Z
2021-05-24T01:25:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=35.0, Lat.=6.0, Speed=585.0, HalfAngle=11.0, Time21.5=2021-05-24T06:53Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2021-05-26T07:37Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -4.0 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 30.3 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.4
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2021-05-25T04:52Z
STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2021-05-26T07:37Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20210523_143400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :


Submitted on 2021-05-24T19:32Z by Michelangelo Romano

A Notification with ID 20210524-AL-002 was sent on 2021-05-24T20:17Z
A Notification with ID 20210525-AL-002 was sent on 2021-05-25T18:30Z


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